Browsing by Author "Dogan, Ergun"
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Article Citation - WoS: 8Citation - Scopus: 8A nonparametric panel data model for examining the contribution of tourism to economic growth(Elsevier, 2023) Dogan, Ergun; Doğan, Ergun; Zhang, Xibin; 43080; İktisatWe apply a nonparametric panel data model with cross-sectional and time-varying coefficients to examine the relationship between tourist arrivals and economic growth in the Schengen area from 1995 to 2019. In contrast to the parametric models employed in other studies, our nonparametric model makes no assumption about functional form and, hence, allows us to model the relationship nonlinearly. We find that the tourism-economic growth relationship in the Schengen area is nonlinear and time-varying. While the relationship between tourism and economic growth was positive and significant during 1995-2003, it was negative and significant during the Global Financial Crisis (2007-2008) and the European recession of 2012-2013. One additional contribution of the study is the finding that total factor productivity (TFP) has been growing at 1.45% per year. The results also show that country-level TFP growth was disrupted during the aforementioned negative economic shocks.Article Citation - WoS: 8Citation - Scopus: 11Firm size and job creation: evidence from Turkey(Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2017) Dogan, Ergun; Yazıcı, Mehmet; Islam, M. Qamarul; Yazici, Mehmet; 43080; 144084; İktisatThis study examines the relationship between firm size and job creation by using an extensive data set covering all non-farm Turkish businesses with 20 or more employees from 2003 to 2010. We find that small firms (firms with employees between 20 and 100 employees) have higher mean job flow rates (job creation, job destruction and net job creation rates) than large firms. Firm size and job flow rates are inversely related, and this relationship is especially prominent for firms with 50 employees or more. Although the overall pattern observed is also observed in both sectors, job creation rates in services are higher than the ones in manufacturing. The magnitudes of job destruction rates are comparable across sectors. Higher job creation rate in services but comparable job destruction rate results in higher net job creation rate in services. As for shares, only for smaller firms (20-49 and 50-99 size categories), job creation shares are greater than their shares in employment. But these firms have disproportionate job destruction shares as well. We also find that only the 20-49 category firms contribute to net job creation more than their share in employment. The smaller firms have high disproportionate shares in job creation and destruction in manufacturing and services as well.Article Citation - WoS: 1Citation - Scopus: 1Job Flow Patterns and Productivity Dynamics in Turkish Manufacturing(World Scientific Publ Co Pte Ltd, 2024) Dogan, Ergun; Islam, M. Qamarul; Yazici, MehmetIn this paper, we analyze the job creation and destruction process, and the productivity dynamics in Turkish manufacturing by size, export status, import status and ownership by using a comprehensive firm-level dataset for the period of 2010-2015. Our focus is on the effect of turnover, which is due to the entry and exit of firms, on both job flows and industrial productivity growth. Our results show that while small firms contribute most to job creation, it is the large firms that contribute most to productivity growth. Regarding ownership, domestic private firms perform better than foreign firms in both job creation and productivity growth. With respect to export status, even though non-exporters outperform exporters in job creation, exporters dominate the productivity growth. As for import status, in job creation, like in the case of export status, non-importers do better but in productivity growth, unlike in the export status, no group of firms dominate, more specifically importers' and non-importers' contributions are close to each other. Another interesting finding is that, turnover effect on industry productivity is positive but very low. The role of incumbent firms in generating productivity growth is much higher than that of entering and exiting firms.Article Citation - WoS: 0Citation - Scopus: 1Real exchange rates and job flows: evidence from Turkey(Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2018) Dogan, Ergun; Yazıcı, Mehmet; Islam, M. Qamarul; Yazici, Mehmet; 43080; 14480; İktisatThis study investigates the effects of the real exchange rate on job flows in Turkish manufacturing industries between 2006 and 2015 using data at the four-digit NACE Revision 2 level. Using dynamic panel data models, we find that a real appreciation increases gross and net job creation rates, and that the effect of appreciation is magnified as the exposure to international competitiveness of industries increases. We think that this is because Turkish manufacturing firms import a greater share of their inputs compared to the firms in developed countries. Hence, an appreciation creates more jobs because lower imported input costs enable firms to outcompete foreign producers.Article Citation - WoS: 10Citation - Scopus: 14Sources and Channels of International Knowledge Spillovers in ASEAN-5: The Role of Institutional Quality(Wiley, 2020) Dogan, Ergun; Wong, Koi Nyen; 43080Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) is a dynamic and outward-looking regional economy, which has made notable progress in expanding trade and investment. This paper examines whether knowledge spillovers are prevalent among ASEAN-5, focusing on the issues of which channels and which sources are the potential drivers of total factor productivity. The findings reveal that the key spillover channels are exports and non-capital imports coming from source countries such as the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries, the G7 countries. The institutional quality plays an instrumental role in increasing total factor productivity through foreign direct investment, especially when the spillovers originate from the OECD and the G7. (c) 2020 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.Article Citation - WoS: 9Citation - Scopus: 14Trade openness and industrial growth: evidence from Nigeria(Savez Ekonomista Vojvodine, 2017) Adamu, Fahad Muhammad; Dogan, Ergun; 43080This study examines the long-run and short-run relationship between industrial production and trade openness in Nigeria during the period from 1986 to 2008 by using quarterly data. It employs the ARDL bounds testing methodology developed by M. Hashem Pesaran, Yongcheol Shin, and Richard J. Smith (2001). The results of both the long-run analysis and the short-run error correction model (ECM) indicate that trade openness has a significant and positive impact on industrial production. The Toda-Yamamoto causality analysis shows that there is one-way Granger causality, running from trade openness to industrial production.Article Citation - WoS: 4Citation - Scopus: 9Turnover, ownership and productivity in Malaysian manufacturing(Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2013) Dogan, Ergun; Wong, Koi Nyen; Yap, Michael M. C.; 43080Applying Foster, Haltiwanger, and Krizan's decomposition of productivity growth method to Malaysian manufacturing census data for 2000 and 2005, we analyze if firm turnover by ownership (domestic vs. foreign) has any impact on the sector's aggregate productivity growth. The findings show that turnover matters regardless of ownership, but more importantly, attracting foreign direct investment inflows could induce positive net entry effect'. The analysis shows that large-sized foreign and domestic entrants are more productive than medium-sized and especially small-sized ones. The study provides important implications for government policies based on ownership and firm size.Article Citation - WoS: 9Citation - Scopus: 8Vertical and horizontal spillovers from foreign direct investment: evidence from Malaysian manufacturing(Mit Press, 2017) Dogan, Ergun; Wong, Koi Nyen; Yap, Michael M. C.; 43080Given developing countries' dependence on foreign direct investment (FDI) in manufacturing, it is important to assess the benefits that accompany FDI, given the cost of incentives that are used to attract foreign investments. We empirically analyze FDI spillover effects in Malaysia using unpublished establishment-level data, accounting for domestic firm size, the market orientation of local firms and foreign multinationals, and firm technology level and absorptive capacity. We find weak evidence of horizontal spillovers; backward and forward spillovers are negative in most cases. Because these results raise concerns about the technological capability of local firms, government policies on technology, human resource, education, and R&D should address this.