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A Mathematical and Statistical Estimation of Potential Transmission and Severity of COVID-19: A Combined Study of Romania and Pakistan

dc.authorid Abro, Kashif Ali/0000-0003-0867-642X
dc.authorid Awan, Aziz Ullah/0000-0003-3184-3652
dc.authorscopusid 55299008300
dc.authorscopusid 55338210300
dc.authorscopusid 26434382700
dc.authorscopusid 56988922200
dc.authorscopusid 7005872966
dc.authorscopusid 57195408434
dc.authorwosid Hussain, Muhammad/Aad-2380-2022
dc.authorwosid Awan, Aziz/Aeo-6306-2022
dc.authorwosid Baleanu, Dumitru/B-9936-2012
dc.authorwosid Abro, Dr. Kashif Ali/D-8027-2017
dc.authorwosid Khalid, Muhammad/Hns-5859-2023
dc.contributor.author Ozair, Muhammad
dc.contributor.author Baleanu, Dumitru
dc.contributor.author Hussain, Takasar
dc.contributor.author Hussain, Mureed
dc.contributor.author Awan, Aziz Ullah
dc.contributor.author Baleanu, Dumitru
dc.contributor.author Abro, Kashif Ali
dc.contributor.authorID 56389 tr_TR
dc.contributor.other Matematik
dc.date.accessioned 2022-02-23T08:06:33Z
dc.date.available 2022-02-23T08:06:33Z
dc.date.issued 2020
dc.department Çankaya University en_US
dc.department-temp [Ozair, Muhammad; Hussain, Takasar] COMSATS Univ Islamabad, Dept Math, Attock Campus, Attock, Pakistan; [Hussain, Mureed] Higher Educ Dept, Chandigarh, Punjab, India; [Awan, Aziz Ullah] Univ Punjab, Dept Math, New Campus, Lahore, Pakistan; [Baleanu, Dumitru] Cankaya Univ, Fac Arts & Sci, Dept Math, TR-06530 Ankara, Turkey; [Abro, Kashif Ali] Univ Free State, Inst Ground Water Studies, Fac Nat & Agr Sci, Bloemfontein, South Africa; [Abro, Kashif Ali] Mehran Univ Engn & Technol, Dept Basic Sci & Related Studies, Jamshoro, Pakistan; [Abro, Kashif Ali] Ton Duc Thang Univ, Fac Math & Stat, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam en_US
dc.description Abro, Kashif Ali/0000-0003-0867-642X; Awan, Aziz Ullah/0000-0003-3184-3652 en_US
dc.description.abstract During the outbreak of an epidemic, it is of immense interest to monitor the effects of containment measures and forecast of outbreak including epidemic peak. To confront the epidemic, a simple SIR model is used to simulate the number of affected patients of coronavirus disease in Romania and Pakistan. The model captures the growth in case onsets, and the estimated results are almost compatible with the actual reported cases. Through the calibration of parameters, forecast for the appearance of new cases in Romania and Pakistan is reported till the end of this year by analysing the current situation. The constant level of number of patients and time to reach this level is also reported through the simulations. The drastic condition is also discussed which may occur if all the preventive restraints are removed. en_US
dc.description.publishedMonth 12
dc.description.sponsorship Mehran University of Engineering and Technology, Jamshoro, Pakistan en_US
dc.description.sponsorship The author Kashif Ali Abro is highly thankful and grateful to the Mehran University of Engineering and Technology, Jamshoro, Pakistan, for the generous support and facilities of this research work. en_US
dc.description.woscitationindex Science Citation Index Expanded
dc.identifier.citation Ozair, Muhammad...et al. (2020). "A Mathematical and Statistical Estimation of Potential Transmission and Severity of COVID-19: A Combined Study of Romania and Pakistan", Biomed Research International, Vol. 2020. en_US
dc.identifier.doi 10.1155/2020/5607236
dc.identifier.issn 2314-6133
dc.identifier.issn 2314-6141
dc.identifier.pmid 33354566
dc.identifier.scopus 2-s2.0-85098203305
dc.identifier.scopusquality Q1
dc.identifier.uri https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/5607236
dc.identifier.volume 2020 en_US
dc.identifier.wos WOS:000601211900012
dc.identifier.wosquality N/A
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.publisher Hindawi Ltd en_US
dc.relation.publicationcategory Makale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı en_US
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess en_US
dc.scopus.citedbyCount 17
dc.title A Mathematical and Statistical Estimation of Potential Transmission and Severity of COVID-19: A Combined Study of Romania and Pakistan tr_TR
dc.title A Mathematical and Statistical Estimation of Potential Transmission and Severity of Covid-19: A Combined Study of Romania and Pakistan en_US
dc.type Article en_US
dc.wos.citedbyCount 14
dspace.entity.type Publication
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