İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi
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Browsing İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi by Department "Çankaya Üniversitesi, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, Bankacılık ve Finans Bölümü"
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Article An Examination Of The Effects Of The February, 2001 Crisis (Turkey) On The Performances Of The Low-Q And High-Q Firms(2006) Omay, Tolga; Omay, Tolga; Çankaya Meslek YüksekokuluThis paper examines the effects of the February 2001 Economic Crisis (Turkey) on the low-Q and high-Q firms. In the study, our sample is composed of the firms that are actively being traded on Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) during that time, and is divided into two sub-samples based on their Tobins' Q values. As firms with high Tobins' Q values are supposed to have lower debt levels we proposed them to be less affected by the crises: their debt repayment commitments are lower, although they are expected to be under the burden of higher interest rates. On the other hand, low-Q firms have incentives to overinvest due to the high levels of available free cash and they may be under the burden of some perquisites expenses. But because of the asset substitution affect, the investments undertaken by low-Q firms are expected to be safer projects while high-Q firms may have undertaken more risky projects. To test our hypothesis that the crisis would affect the low-and high-Q firms to differing extends, we construct the average mean excess returns of both sub-samples and use the Large Sample Test of Hypothesis About a Population Mean method. Our results mainly confirm our expectations: we found that the average mean excess negative returns of high-Q firms were higher than that of low-Q firms during the February 2001 Crisis, indicating that high-Q firms are more riskier in an economic crisis setting than low-Q firms, which in turn implies that the effects of the conflict between equityholders and debtholders dominate the affects of the conflict between managers and the shareholders.Article An examination of the major behavioral aspects of distribution channels in an export channel design(2012) Karadağlı, Ece; Aluftekin, NilayThis paper concentrates on the behavioral aspects of distribution channels in an export channel design from the perspective of the exporter. Based on the argument that channel conflict and satisfaction are among the major determinants of channel efficiency and performance, the perceived degrees of channel conflict and satisfaction are examined as well as the three antecedents of channel conflict, namely the channel power, cultural distance and distribution system quality, as they are regarded among major factors affecting the channel conflict. In conducting the analysis, questionnaire survey was undertaken among 30 exporter companies that are members of Ankara Chamber of Commerce and Likert scaling technique is used. The findings from the ordinary least squares (OLS) regression analysis suggest that the Turkish exporter do not regard the level of exercised power in a marketing channel system and the cultural distance between the foreign channel member’ markets as important sources of conflict while the international distribution system quality seems to be perceived as a major source of channel conflict. The findings also suggest that there exists a close relationship between the perceived channel conflict and the channel members’ satisfaction.Article An Outline of Skilled Emigration from Turkey to OECD Countries: A Panel Data Analysis(2017) Acar, Elif Öznur; 48566; Uluslararası Ticaret ve FinansmanTurkey provides rich evidence for the current international migration trends given its economic and demographic dynamics. The number of people moving overseas to settle permanently has been following an increasing trend in the recent decades, particularly remarkable for skilled and female groups. However, given the micro-level data limitations the migration outlook of Turkey is still quite bleak. The aim of this paper is to fill this gap and analyze the relationship between migration and human capital in the context of Turkish immigrants. First, aggregate trends of the Turkish emigrants in the 20 OECD destination countries by gender and educational level over the 1980-2010 period are examined using the IAB Brain Drain dataset. Next, a random effects panel estimation is applied to scrutinize the underlying dynamics of observed migration patterns adopting economic size, unemployment, demographic profile, urbanization and proximity as explanatory variables. The results reveal that gender, time and education are found as significantly related to international mobility trends, and the substantially left-skewedness of the distribution of Turkish emigrants along educational level is gradually fading away over time.Article An Outline of Skilled Emigration from Turkey to OECD Countries: A Panel Data Analysis(2017) Acar, Elif Öznur; 48566; Uluslararası Ticaret ve FinansmanTurkey provides rich evidence for the current international migration trends given its economic and demographic dynamics. The number of people moving overseas to settle permanently has been following an increasing trend in the recent decades, particularly remarkable for skilled and female groups. However, given the micro-level data limitations the migration outlook of Turkey is still quite bleak. The aim of this paper is to fill this gap and analyze the relationship between migration and human capital in the context of Turkish immigrants. First, aggregate trends of the Turkish emigrants in the 20 OECD destination countries by gender and educational level over the 1980-2010 period are examined using the IAB Brain Drain dataset. Next, a random effects panel estimation is applied to scrutinize the underlying dynamics of observed migration patterns adopting economic size, unemployment, demographic profile, urbanization and proximity as explanatory variables. The results reveal that gender, time and education are found as significantly related to international mobility trends, and the substantially left-skewedness of the distribution of Turkish emigrants along educational level is gradually fading away over time.Article Can Stock Price Manipulation be Prevented by Granting More Freedom to Manipulators(2015) İlalan, Deniz; Bankacılık ve FinansAllen and Gale (1992) construct a model to show that stock price manipulation is possible. The time structure of their model allows manipulators to pretend as “informed” traders, so that the local investors cannot distinguish what type of entrant they are facing. When the type of the entrant becomes known to the local investors it is already too late to make any use of that information. This paper shows an institution can be designed in a very natural fashion which induces different behaviors on the part of manipulators and “informed” traders at the beginning of the process. The institution designed roughly consists of entitling the entrants to resell stocks at a later date as well if they wish to do so. As this reasoning is also accessible to manipulators, the designed institution deters them from entering the market. Regarding the informed traders, their expected gain from entering the stock market may or may not be positive contingent on the basic parameters of the model. There are cases, however, when there is an improvement in the expected total gain of the local investors.Book Part Corporate Diversification and Internal Capital Markets: Evidence from the Turkish Business Groups(2004) Gönenç, Halit; Kan, Özgür Berk; Karadağlı, Ece C.; 17735We compare the performance of firms affiliated with diversified business groups with the performance of unaffiliated firms in an emerging market, Turkey. Our findings indicate that group affiliation improves firm's accounting performance, but not stock market performance. Furthermore, we find that firm's accounting (but not stock market) performance increases with the level of group diversification. Our results also indicate that having a group affiliated bank affects the accounting performance measures of the group firms positively, but the market value of the group affiliated firms negatively, supporting the misallocation of capital hypothesis. In addition, having a group affiliated media institution is found to affect the performance of the group firms positively. More importantly, we examine the frequency of seasoned equity issue offerings with the forms of cash (right and restricted right) issues and bonus issues to address the question of whether group affiliated firms create an internal capital market. We show that unaffiliated firms are more bound to external markets to raise capital while the affiliated firms use internal capital markets. The views expressed in these papers are those of the author(s), they do not reflect the opinions of LECG, LLC and should not be construed as representing the positions of other experts at LECG, LLC.Article Defining and Measuring Informality: The Case of Turkish Labor Market1(2015) Acar, Elif Öznur; Tansel, Aysıt; 48566; Uluslararası Ticaret ve FinansmanIn this study, we consider how informality can be defined and measured in the Turkish labor market. The empirical analysis consists of developing three alternative definitions of labor informality, and exploring the relevance and implications of each for the Turkish labor market using descriptive statistics and multivariate probit analysis of the likelihood of informality under each definition. We find that social security registration criterion is a better measure of informality in the Turkish labor market given its ability to capture key relationships between several individual and employment characteristics and the likelihood of informality.Article Determination of the Best Simple Moving Average By Stochastic Processes(2017) İlalan, Deniz; Bankacılık ve FinansIn this study, we consider one of the most popular technical indicators and try to determine the best fitting simple moving average to a given data. Here we utilize from a general mean reverting stochastic process where the mean is time dependent. We propose an identification algorithm which mainly concentrates on the normality of the residual terms after the data is demeaned from simple moving average and also provide evidence that our algorithm works quite well for determination of the “best” simple moving average.Article Do Derivative Instruments Play a Role in Performance Theory? The Turkish Closed-End Funds Case(2016) Pirgaip, Burak; 252136; Bankacılık ve FinansMarket prices of closed-end funds (CEF) deviate from their net asset values (NAV) which is known as “CEF puzzle”. I attempt to show from the Turkish experience that CEF discounts/premia predict the corresponding CEF‟s future returns, in the light of managerial performance theory. But derivatives facet of the subject matter has not been uncovered so far. Therefore I hypothesize that performance of derivative user CEF are better estimators for discounts/premia than non-users. I show a significant positive relation between CEF discounts/premia and future NAV performance. However, this relation seems not to be more explicit for derivative user CEF than non-usersArticle Fractional Frequency Flexible Fourier Form to approximate smooth breaks in unit root testing(2015) Omay, Tolga; 19320; Çankaya Meslek YüksekokuluIn this study, a Fractional Frequency Flexible Fourier Form DF-type unit root test is proposed. The small sample properties of the proposed test are found to be better than that of the integer frequency counterpart. •Fractional Frequency Flexible Fourier Form-DF-type of unit root test is proposed.•The small sample properties of FFFFF-DF-type test are better than EL test.•FFFFF-DF-type test improves the empirical testing performance.•FFFFF-DF-type test prevents type two errors and over-filtration problems.Book Halka Açık Olmayan İşletmelerce Uygulanan Muhasebe ve Finansal Raporlama Standartları Çerçevesinde KOBİ'ler için UFRS ile Avrupa Birliği Yönergesinin, İngiltere, Kanada ve Türkiye Uygulamalarının Karşılaştırmalı Olarak İncelenmesi(Gazi Kitabevi, 2016) Öztürk, Can; 41482; Bankacılık ve FinansArticle How Globalization Affects The Operational Efficiency of Emerging Market Firms?: A Comparative Analysis On Turkish SMEs(Univ Oviedo, 2018) Akdoğan, Ece Ceylan; 17735; Bankacılık ve FinansThis paper examines the impact of globalization on the operational efficiency of emerging market firms by concentrating on the financial outcomes of a firm's main operations through focusing on operating income and cash conversion cycle as well as on their possible causes in an emerging market, Turkey. The findings indicate that globalization significantly deteriorates the operating income and lengthens the cash conversion cycle of Turkish firms. Besides, globalization is found to increase sales of SMEs and decrease sales of large companies significantly and the impact on operating income of large companies is observed to be stronger. Globalization is also found to lead a softening in Turkish firm's terms of sales and enable Turkish SMEs to benefit from better terms of purchase.Article Modeling Correlation Structure for Collateralized Debt Obligations(2015) İlalan, Deniz; Bankacılık ve FinansPricing complex financial derivatives such as collateralized debt obligations (CDO) is considered as the main reason triggering the 2008 financial crisis. The correlation structure related to the credit risks involved in a portfolio for pricing issues have been tried to overcome via a Gaussian copula framework first introduced by David Li (2000). This approach regards the correlation among the credit risks as normally distributed (tied with a Gaussian copula framework), enabling us to derive analytical solutions. However, despite its simplicity, this approach is far from reality, which caused mispricing of the tranches of CDOs. This phenomenon is called the correlation smile. This paper takes the correlation smile issue by considering a Levy copula framework. When this is introduced to pricing equations, one can see that the correlation smile is “corrected”. Thus, a more accurate model of pricing the above-mentioned tranches is introduced.Article The Effects of Globalization on Firm Performance in Emerging Markets: Evidence From Emerging-7 Countries(2012) Karadağlı, EceAlthough there exists a wide array of literature regarding almost every aspect of globalization at macro level, surprisingly, the micro level of the subject area seems to be a little ignored and consequently, almost nothing is known about the impact of globalization on firm performance/value. In an attempt to contribute to fulfilling this gap, this research focuses on the impact of the overall globalization level of a country and its single dimensions, specifically her economic, her political and her social globalization levels on firm performance which is measured by the stock market index returns for “Emerging-7 (E7)” countries, specifically Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia and Turkey, for the period 1998-2009 by using panel data estimation. The findings suggest that the overall level of globalization significantly improves firm performance. Besides, the single dimensions of globalization are also found to have value enhancing effects though the result for economic globalization is insignificant at conventional levels. Additionally, the political globalization seems to be the most promising dimension of globalization with regard to performance enhancing prospects for firms.Article The effects of terrorist activities on foreign direct investment: nonlinear Evidence(2013) Omay, Tolga; Takay Araz, Bahar; Ilalan, Deniz; 19320; Çankaya Meslek YüksekokuluIn this study, we examine the relationship between foreign direct investment and terrorist incidents that took place in Turkey for the period from 1991:12 to 2003:12. This research contributes to the literature by checking for a possible non-linear relationship between terrorism and foreign direct investment. The data used to measure the intensity of terrorism were collected from the newspapers of Turkey, and therefore are limited to the direct signals given to the market. Empirical evidence from both linear and non-linear models confirms that terrorism has a large significant negative impact on foreign direct investment. With respect to the nonlinear model, the impact of terrorism on the foreign direct investment is more severe during periods of high terrorism when the intensity of terrorism passes the threshold level 3.725.Article The Impact of Fed Policy Announcements on Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from Borsa Istanbul(2017) İlalan, Deniz; İlalan, Deniz; Bankacılık ve FinansThis paper aims to understand the impact of US nonfarm payroll announcements on emerging stock markets through concentrating on the Turkish Stock Exchange: BIST 100. We not only investigate the impact of each of the three components of the nonfarm payroll data for the whole period under consideration, but also look for possible differences among four sub-periods. A comparative analysis leads us to conclude that it is not the nonfarm payroll which significantly affect BIST 100, but the fact that it is regarded as an important indicator to foresee Fed’s policy actions that can alter the capital flows.Conference Object Türkiye Markasında Sınırları Genişletmek ve Kültürel Diplomasi(Çaşıoğlu Matbeesi, 2018) Armağan Uslu, Zeynep; 203902Book Part Ums 1 Finansal Tabloların Sunuluşu Standardının Yerini Alması Beklenen Ufrs X Genel Sunum Ve Açıklama Standardı Tas- Lağı (Ed/2019/7) Üzerine Bir Değerlendirme(Gazi Kitabevi, 2022) Öztürk, Can; Akdoğan, Nalan; Özerhan, Yıldız; Sultanoğu, Banu; Bankacılık ve Finans