Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12416/8651
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Article Citation - WoS: 5Citation - Scopus: 5Ann and Anfis Performance Prediction Models for Francis Type Turbines(Turkish Soc thermal Sciences Technology, 2020) Aylı, Ülkü Ece; Ayli, Ece; Ulucak, Oguzhan; Makine MühendisliğiTurbines can be operated under partial loading conditions due to the seasonal precipitation fluctuations and due to the needed electrical demand over time. According to this partial working need, designers generate hill chart diagrams to observe the system behavior under different flow rates and head values. In order to generate a hill chart, several numerical or experimental studies have been performed at different guide vane openings and head values which are very time consuming and expensive. In this study, the efficiency prediction of Francis turbines has been performed with ANN and ANFIS methods under different operating conditions and compared with simulation results. The obtained results indicate that it is possible to obtain a hill chart using ANFIS method instead of a costly experimental or numerical tests. ANN and ANFIS parameters which effect the output, have been optimized with trying 100 different cases. 75% of the numerical data set is used for training and 25 % is used for validation as testing data. To asses and compare the performance of multiple ANN and ANFIS models several statistical indicators have been used. Insight to the performance evaluation, it is seen that ANFIS can predict the efficiency distribution with higher accuracy than the ANN model. The developed ANFIS model predicts the efficiency with 1.41% mean average percentage error and 0.999 R-2 value. To the best of the author's knowledge, this is the first study in the literature that ANN and ANFIS are used in order to predict the efficiency distribution of the turbines at different loading conditions.Article Citation - WoS: 17Citation - Scopus: 17Developing and Implementation of an Optimization Technique for Solar Chimney Power Plant With Machine Learning(Asme, 2021) Kocak, Eyup; Bayer, Ozgur; Beldek, Ulas; Yapic, Ekin Ozgirgin; Ayli, Ece; Ulucak, Oguzhan; Yapici, Ekin ÖzgirginGreen energy has seen a huge surge of interest recently due to various environmental and financial reasons. To extract the most out of a renewable system and to go greener, new approaches are evolving. In this paper, the capability of Artificial Neural Network and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System in geometrical optimization of a solar chimney power plant (SCPP) to enhance generated power is investigated to reduce the time cost and errors when optimization is performed with numerical or experimental methods. It is seen that both properly constructed artificial neural networks (ANN) and adaptive-network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) optimized geometries give higher performance than the numerical results. Also, to validate the accuracy of the ANN and ANFIS predictions, the obtained results are compared with the numerical results. Both soft computing methods over predict the power output values with MRE values of 12.36% and 7.25% for ANN and ANFIS, respectively. It is seen that by utilizing ANN and ANFIS algorithms, more power can be extracted from the SCPP system compared to conventional computational fluid dynamics (CFD) optimized geometry with trying a lot more geometries in a notably less time when it is compared with the numerical technique. It is worth mentioning that the optimization method that is developed can be implemented to all engineering problems that need geometric optimization to maximize or minimize the objective function.