WoS İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12416/8653
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Article Machine Learning-Based Efficiency Prediction of Francis Type Hydraulic Turbines Through Comprehensive Performance Testing(Sage Publications Ltd, 2025) Besni, Ferdi; Buyuksolak, Fevzi; Ayli, Ece; Celebioglu, Kutay; Aradag, Selin; Tascioglu, YigitIn this study, the rehabilitation works carried out for the KEPEZ HPP, which has been in operation for over 50 years in Antalya, Turkey, is discussed. Within this scope, the existing turbine components are optimized using the CFD method, and a design that provides higher performance at the required flow rate and head is obtained. Analyses are performed using numerical methods to examine the behavior of the new turbine at different flow rates and heads, and a hill chart is created. In the second stage, model tests are carried out at the TOBB ETU HYDRO Water Turbine Design and Test Center in accordance with IEC60193 standards. Different ML methods are examined for their ability to predict turbine performance, following the development of the hydrid CFD-Experimental methodology. According to the authors knowledge, there is no study in the literature that combines experimental, numerical, and ML methods for turbines, and ML methods have not been applied before for Francis-type turbine performance prediction. The outcomes of the study contribute to the advancement of turbine design and optimization processes, offering valuable insights for the successful implementation of rehabilitation projects in the hydropower sector.Article Prediction of Noise Generated by Rod-Airfoil Configuration: an Investigation Based on Experiments and Machine Learning(Sage Publications Ltd, 2024) Kocak, Eyup; Ayli, EceThis study investigated the effects of various parameters on the SPL (Sound Pressure Level) levels of rod-airfoil configurations. An experimental study was performed to investigate the effects of the rod parameters, such as the configuration of the rod, the distance between the rod and the airfoil, the diameter effect of the rod, and the geometry of the rod, on the performance of the rod-airfoil configuration. An Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model was then developed and applied to accurately predict the SPL of rod-airfoil configurations. The results of the study revealed that the Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) algorithm with 2 hidden neurons produced the best performance in predicting the SPL level, with a training R-squared value of 0.9998 and a testing R-squared value of 0.998715. The findings also indicated that increasing rod diameter increases sound pressure level while reducing gap width increases SPL levels and decreases frequency values. This method offers a more precise and effective technique to forecast the SPL levels of rod-airfoil designs, allowing designers to enhance their creations and lower noise levels. The findings of this study can also be utilized to direct future research in this area and offer important information for a better understanding of the mechanism of rod-airfoil noise creation. To the best of the authors' knowledge, this is the first study to look into rod-airfoil design predictions made using machine learning approaches.Article Citation - WoS: 2Citation - Scopus: 1Exploring the Potential of Artificial Intelligence Tools in Enhancing the Performance of an Inline Pipe Turbine(Sage Publications Ltd, 2024) Celebioglu, Kutay; Ayli, Ece; Cetinturk, Huseyin; Tascioglu, Yigit; Aradag, SelinIn this study, investigations were conducted using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) to assess the applicability of a Francis-type water turbine within a pipe. The objective of the study is to determine the feasibility of implementing a turbine within a pipe and enhance its performance values within the operating range. The turbine within the pipe occupies significantly less space in hydroelectric power plants since a spiral casing is not used to distribute the flow to stationary vanes. Consequently, production and assembly costs can be reduced. Hence, there is a broad scope for application, particularly in small and medium-scale hydroelectric power plants. According to the results, the efficiency value increases on average by approximately 1.5% compared to conventional design, and it operates with higher efficiencies over a wider flow rate range. In the second part of the study, machine learning was employed for the efficiency prediction of an inline-type turbine. An appropriate Artificial Neural Network (ANN) architecture was initially obtained, with the Bayesian Regularization training algorithm proving to be the best approach for this type of problem. When the suitable ANN architecture was utilized, the prediction was found to be in good agreement with CFD, with an root mean squared error value of 0.194. An R2 value of 0.99631 was achieved with the appropriate ANN architecture.Article Citation - WoS: 10Citation - Scopus: 11Analysis of Heat Transfer Enhancement of Passive Methods in Tubes With Machine Learning(Sage Publications Ltd, 2024) Ayli, Ece; Turkoglu, Hasmet; Yapici, Ekin Ozgirgin; Özgirgin Yapıcı, EkinThis study investigates the efficacy of machine learning techniques and correlation methods for predicting heat transfer performance in a dimpled tube under varying flow conditions, including the presence of nanoparticles. A comprehensive numerical analysis involving 120 cases was conducted to obtain Nusselt numbers and friction factors, considering different dimple depths and velocities for both pure water and water-Al2O3 nanofluid at 1%, 2%, and 3% volume concentrations. Utilizing the data acquired from the numerical simulations, a correlation equation, SVM ANN architectures were developed. The predictive capabilities of the statistical approach, ANN, and SVM models for Nusselt number distribution and friction factor were meticulously assessed through mean average percentage error (MAPE) and correlation coefficients (R2). The research findings reveal that machine learning techniques offer a highly effective approach for accurately predicting heat transfer performance in a dimpled tube, with results closely aligned with Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations. Particularly noteworthy is the superior performance of the ANN model, demonstrating the most precise predictions with an error rate of 2.54% and an impressive R2 value of 0.9978 for Nusselt number prediction. In comparison, the regression model achieved an average error rate of 6.14% with an R2 value of 0.8623, and the SVM model yielded an RMSE value of 2.984% with an R2 value of 0.9154 for Nusselt number prediction. These outcomes underscore the ANN model's ability to effectively capture complex patterns within the data, resulting in highly accurate predictions. In conclusion, this research showcases the promising potential of machine learning techniques in accurately forecasting heat transfer performance in dimpled tubes. The developed ANN model exhibits notable superiority in predicting Nusselt numbers, making it a valuable tool for enhancing thermal system analyses and engineering design optimization.Article Citation - WoS: 20Citation - Scopus: 20Modeling of Mixed Convection in an Enclosure Using Multiple Regression, Artificial Neural Network, and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Interface System Models(Sage Publications Ltd, 2020) Ayli, EceIn this study, the heat transfer characteristics of laminar combined forced convection through a horizontal duct are obtained with the help of the numerical methods. The effect of the geometrical parameters of the cavity and Reynolds number on the heat transfer is investigated. New heat transfer correlation for hydrodynamically fully developed, laminar combined forced convection through a horizontal duct is proposed with an average error of 6.98% and R-2 of 0.8625. The obtained correlation results are compared with the artificial neural network and adaptive neuro-fuzzy interface system models. Due to the obtained results, good agreement is identified between the numerical results and predicted adaptive neuro-fuzzy interface system results. In conclusion, it is seen that adaptive neuro-fuzzy interface system can predict the Nusselt number distribution with a higher accuracy than the developed correlation and the artificial neural network model. The developed adaptive neuro-fuzzy interface system model predicts the Nusselt number with 1.07% mean average percentage error and 0.9983 R-2 value. The effect of the different training algorithms and their ability to predict Nusselt number distribution are examined. According to the results, the Bayesian regulation algorithm gives the best approach with a 2.235% error. According to the examination that is performed in this study, the adaptive neuro-fuzzy interface system is a powerful, robust tool that can be used with confidence for predicting the thermal performance.