WoS İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12416/8653
Browse
2 results
Search Results
Article Citation - WoS: 6Citation - Scopus: 6Modeling the Transmission Dynamics of Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus with the Impact of Media Coverage(Elsevier, 2021) Fatima, BiBi; Alqudah, Manar A.; Zaman, Gul; Jarad, Fahd; Abdeljawad, ThabetMiddle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus has been persistent in the Middle East region since 2012. In this paper, we propose a deterministic mathematical model to investigate the effect of media coverage on the transmission and control of Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus disease. In order to do this we develop model formulation. Basic reproduction number R-0 will be calculated from the model to assess the transmissibility of the (MERS-CoV). We discuss the existence of backward bifurcation for some range of parameters. We also show stability of the model to figure out the stability condition and impact of media coverage. We show a special case of the model for which the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Finally all the theoretical results will be verified with the help of numerical simulation for easy understanding.Article Transmission Dynamic and Backward Bifurcation of Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus(Vilnius Univ, inst Mathematics & informatics, 2022) Zaman, Gul; Jarad, Fahd; Fatima, BibiMiddle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) remains an emerging disease threat with regular human cases on the Arabian Peninsula driven by recurring camels to human transmission events. In this paper, we present a new deterministic model for the transmission dynamics of (MERS-CoV). In order to do this, we develop a model formulation and analyze the stability of the proposed model. The stability conditions are obtained in term of R-0, we find those conditions for which the model become stable. We discuss basic reproductive number R-0 along with sensitivity analysis to show the impact of every epidemic parameter. We show that the proposed model exhibits the phenomena of backward bifurcation. Finally, we show the numerical simulation of our proposed model for supporting our analytical work. The aim of this work is to show via mathematical model the transmission of MERS-CoV between humans and camels, which are suspected to be the primary source of infection.