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Uluslararası Ticaret Bölümü

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Browsing Uluslararası Ticaret Bölümü by Institution Author "Yazici, Mehmet"

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    Article
    Citation - WoS: 4
    Citation - Scopus: 10
    The Exchange Rate and the Trade Balances of Turkish Agriculture, Manufacturing and Mining
    (Springer, 2008) Yazici, Mehmet
    This paper investigates and compares the response to the exchange rate changes of trade balances of three Turkish sectors; agriculture, manufacturing and mining. The impact on trade balance of exchange rate changes is examined using the trade balance model employed in Bahmani-Oskooee [1985, Review of Economics and Statistics 67: 500]. Analysis is conducted based on the quarterly data from 1986: I to 1998: III. It is observed that in response to domestic currency depreciation trade balance of each of all three sectors first improves, then deteriorates and then improves again. Despite exhibiting similar pattern of reaction to the exchange rate change in the short run, long-run or overall response of trade balance differs across the sectors; while trade balances of both manufacturing and mining improve in the long run, agricultural trade balance worsens as a result of domestic-currency depreciation.
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    Article
    Citation - WoS: 4
    Citation - Scopus: 5
    Is There a J-Curve Effect in Turkish Services
    (Springer, 2010) Yazici, Mehmet
    This paper explores the existence of the J-curve effect in Turkish services. The model of Bahmani-Oskooee (Rev Econ Stat 67:500-504, 1985), one of the most commonly employed model in the j-curve literature, is adopted. Using quarterly data from 1986: I to 1998: III, we find that, as a result of real depreciation of Turkish currency, YTL, services trade balance initially improves, then worsens and improves again in the short run. This is a pattern indicating that J-curve effect does not exist in Turkish services sector. We also find that depreciation of Turkish Lira improves the trade balance of the sector in the long run, a result consistent with earlier findings for the whole Turkish economy.